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Live market summary

Below 53 is favored at 65% as of 5 Oct 2026, 15:35 UTC across 7 markets.

  • Below 53: 65% (24h change -1%)
  • 53: 15% (24h change 0%)
  • 54: 12% (24h change +3%)
  • 55: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • 56: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 57: 2.6% (24h change 0%)
  • 57: 1.9% (24h change 0%)
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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)

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All options

Below 53

65%
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53

15%
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54

12%
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55

5%
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56

3%
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57

1.9%
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About this market

Market question: How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher?

Below 53 is favored at 65% as of 5 Oct 2026, 15:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher?

Below 53: 65%; 53: 15%; 54: 12%; 55: 5%; 56: 3%; Above 57: 2.6%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.