Cassidy Hutchinson is favored at 48% as of 9 Oct 2026, 12:37 UTC across 42 markets.
- Cassidy Hutchinson: 48% (24h change +39%)
- John Brennan: 27% (24h change -4%)
- Anthony Fauci: 21% (24h change 0%)
- Ilhan Omar: 17% (24h change +7.1%)
- Leon Black: 16% (24h change 0%)
- Jack Smith: 13% (24h change 0%)
- Lisa Cook: 13% (24h change -2%)
- Dan J. Sullivan: 13% (24h change 0%)
- Letitia James: 11% (24h change 0%)
- Fani Willis: 11% (24h change 0%)
- James Clapper: 10% (24h change -9%)
- Gustavo Petro: 10% (24h change 0%)
- Chris Krebs: 10% (24h change 0%)
- Miles Taylor: 10% (24h change 0%)
- Jacob Frey: 9% (24h change 0%)
- Peter Strzok: 9% (24h change -5%)
- Tim Walz: 8.9% (24h change +4.9%)
- Mark Kelly: 8% (24h change 0%)
- Jennifer Siebel Newsom: 8% (24h change 0%)
- Gavin Newsom: 7% (24h change -2%)
- Hunter Biden: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Tucker Carlson: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Christopher Wray: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Liz Cheney: 6.5% (24h change 0%)
- Alvin Bragg: 6.1% (24h change 0%)
- E. Jean Carroll: 6% (24h change 0%)
- Reid Hoffman: 6% (24h change 0%)
- Elissa Slotkin: 5.3% (24h change -0.8%)
- Lisa Monaco: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Keith Ellison: 4.7% (24h change 0%)
- Barack Obama: 4.4% (24h change 0%)
- George Soros: 4% (24h change -1%)
- Andrew Weissmann: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Mark Milley: 3.3% (24h change 0%)
- Hillary Clinton: 3.2% (24h change 0%)
- Bill Clinton: 3.1% (24h change 0%)
- Joe Kent: 3.1% (24h change 0%)
- Joe Biden: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Chris Christie: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Pam Bondi: 2.5% (24h change 0%)
- Adam Schiff: 2.1% (24h change -3.5%)
- Jerome Powell: 1.6% (24h change 0%)
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
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Odds history
About this market
Market question: Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
Cassidy Hutchinson is favored at 48% as of 9 Oct 2026, 12:37 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
Cassidy Hutchinson: 48%; John Brennan: 27%; Anthony Fauci: 21%; Ilhan Omar: 17%; Leon Black: 16%; Jack Smith: 13%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.