John Brennan is favored at 51% as of 21 Sep 2026, 18:05 UTC across 42 markets.
- John Brennan: 51% (24h change -3%)
- Leon Black: 34% (24h change 0%)
- Anthony Fauci: 31% (24h change +6%)
- Jack Smith: 23% (24h change +7%)
- Ilhan Omar: 17% (24h change +2%)
- Letitia James: 15% (24h change +3%)
- Gavin Newsom: 14% (24h change +3%)
- James Clapper: 13% (24h change 0%)
- Adam Schiff: 12% (24h change 0%)
- Lisa Cook: 12% (24h change 0%)
- Jennifer Siebel Newsom: 12% (24h change 0%)
- Chris Krebs: 12% (24h change 0%)
- Cassidy Hutchinson: 12% (24h change 0%)
- Lisa Monaco: 12% (24h change 0%)
- Alvin Bragg: 10% (24h change +2.6%)
- Gustavo Petro: 10% (24h change 0%)
- Christopher Wray: 10% (24h change 0%)
- Dan J. Sullivan: 10% (24h change 0%)
- Miles Taylor: 10% (24h change 0%)
- Joe Kent: 9% (24h change 0%)
- Jacob Frey: 8.5% (24h change 0%)
- Peter Strzok: 8.1% (24h change 0%)
- Hunter Biden: 7.3% (24h change 0%)
- Fani Willis: 7.2% (24h change 0%)
- E. Jean Carroll: 7% (24h change 0%)
- George Soros: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Tim Walz: 6.2% (24h change -0.1%)
- Hillary Clinton: 6% (24h change 0%)
- Keith Ellison: 6% (24h change 0%)
- Liz Cheney: 6% (24h change 0%)
- Reid Hoffman: 6% (24h change 0%)
- Elissa Slotkin: 5.1% (24h change 0%)
- Andrew Weissmann: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Mark Milley: 4.9% (24h change 0%)
- Barack Obama: 4.3% (24h change 0%)
- Chris Christie: 3.8% (24h change 0%)
- Joe Biden: 3.7% (24h change +0.7%)
- Mark Kelly: 3.5% (24h change 0%)
- Tucker Carlson: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Pam Bondi: 2.9% (24h change +0.1%)
- Bill Clinton: 2.7% (24h change 0%)
- Jerome Powell: 1.1% (24h change 0%)
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
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Odds history
About this market
Market question: Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
John Brennan is favored at 51% as of 21 Sep 2026, 18:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
John Brennan: 51%; Leon Black: 34%; Anthony Fauci: 31%; Jack Smith: 23%; Ilhan Omar: 17%; Letitia James: 15%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.