Powered by KalshiNavajo Nation presidential election winner?·Buu Nygren·1%(-93%)AZ-05 Republican primary margin of victory?·Mark Lamb, 15-20%·93%(+70%)When will Trump's Labor Secretary pick be confirmed?·Before Aug 1, 2026·66%(+53%)Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?·United Torah Judaism·46%(-51%)Texas's 23rd District margin of victory·Republicans, 17+ pts·2.1%(-50.9%)Will the House vote to ban members of Congress from trading stocks?·Before 2027·83%(+48%)Next French presidential election winner?·François Hollande·9%(-42%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)·July 26·17%(-42%)Who will win the next Zambian presidential election?·Hakainde Hichilema·93%(+38%)Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?·Jerome Powell·57%(+37%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)·Above 60·37%(-37%)Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries?·John Rose·45%(+36.4%)How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (7/19-7/25)·At least 5·99%(+36%)How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?·Above 50·89%(+35%)Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?·Josh Hawley·25%(-34%)

Powered by KalshiNavajo Nation presidential election winner?·Buu Nygren·1%(-93%)AZ-05 Republican primary margin of victory?·Mark Lamb, 15-20%·93%(+70%)When will Trump's Labor Secretary pick be confirmed?·Before Aug 1, 2026·66%(+53%)Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?·United Torah Judaism·46%(-51%)Texas's 23rd District margin of victory·Republicans, 17+ pts·2.1%(-50.9%)Will the House vote to ban members of Congress from trading stocks?·Before 2027·83%(+48%)Next French presidential election winner?·François Hollande·9%(-42%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)·July 26·17%(-42%)Who will win the next Zambian presidential election?·Hakainde Hichilema·93%(+38%)Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?·Jerome Powell·57%(+37%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)·Above 60·37%(-37%)Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries?·John Rose·45%(+36.4%)How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (7/19-7/25)·At least 5·99%(+36%)How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?·Above 50·89%(+35%)Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?·Josh Hawley·25%(-34%)

Summary

Before Jan 1, 2027 is favored at 42% as of 22 Jul 2026, 18:33 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

policy1 marketLIVE

Will FERC move to break up PJM in 2026?

All options

Before Jan 1, 2027

42%

—

$83