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Powered by KalshiWho will leave Trump's Cabinet next?·Howard Lutnick·57%(+46%)Which ballot measures will pass in Idaho?·Reproductive Freedom and Privacy Act·43%(-46%)Which ballot measures will pass in California?·Proposition 42·48%(+44%)New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary: Chris Pappas vote percent·At least 55%·46%(-43%)2028 popular vote margin of victory?·Democratic by 9.0% or more·21%(-39%)Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?·On Dec 14, 2026·72%(+38%)Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration·$47.5 trillion·31%(-33%)When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?·Before Jul 1, 2027·25%(-31%)Who will speak at the 2026 Republican Midterm Convention?·Byron Donalds·96%(+31%)Will Trump publicly call for John Thune to step down as Senate Majority Leader?·Before Jan 1, 2027·54%(+31%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/31 - 9/6)·Above 25·3%(-30%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·75%(+30%)Saxony-Anhalt state election: Greens vote percent·At least 6%·49%(-30%)Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent·At least 44%·57%(+29%)Which lists will win a Knesset seat?·Zionist Home–The Reservists·42%(+27%)

Live market summary

Before Jan 1, 2027 is favored at 11% as of 4 Sep 2026, 18:04 UTC across 1 market.

policy1 marketLIVE

Will FERC move to break up PJM in 2026?

All options

Before Jan 1, 2027

11%

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$1K

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

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Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Will FERC move to break up PJM in 2026?

Before Jan 1, 2027 is favored at 11% as of 4 Sep 2026, 18:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Will FERC move to break up PJM in 2026?

Before Jan 1, 2027: 11%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.