Édouard Philippe is favored at 58% as of 18 Jul 2026, 20:02 UTC across 28 markets. Kalshi odds.

• Édouard Philippe: 58% (24h change +32%)
• François Hollande: 51% (24h change +48%)
• Marine Le Pen: 34% (24h change -3%)
• Jean-Luc Mélenchon: 9.8% (24h change 0%)
• Jordan Bardella: 7.1% (24h change 0%)
• Gérald Darmanin: 6% (24h change 0%)
• Bernard Cazeneuve: 6% (24h change 0%)
• François Bayrou: 5% (24h change 0%)
• Sarah Knafo: 4.4% (24h change 0%)
• Bruno Retailleau: 3.8% (24h change 0%)
• David Lisnard: 2.3% (24h change 0%)
• François Ruffin: 2% (24h change 0%)
• Éric Zemmour: 1.9% (24h change 0%)
• Sébastien Lecornu: 1.9% (24h change 0%)
• Michel Barnier: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Xavier Bertrand: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Valérie Pécresse: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Laurent Wauquiez: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Gabriel Attal: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Élisabeth Borne: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Yaël Braun-Pivet: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Bruno Le Maire: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Carole Delga: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Olivier Faure: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Manuel Bompard: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Mathilde Panot: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Dominique de Villepin: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Jean Castex: 0.1% (24h change 0%)