Jean-Luc Mélenchon is favored at 87% as of 24 Aug 2026, 23:03 UTC across 22 markets. Kalshi odds.

• Jean-Luc Mélenchon: 87% (24h change 0%)
• Marine Le Pen: 86% (24h change 0%)
• Édouard Philippe: 86% (24h change 0%)
• Fabien Roussel: 79% (24h change 0%)
• Nathalie Arthaud: 77% (24h change 0%)
• Bruno Retailleau: 75% (24h change 0%)
• Nicolas Dupont-Aignan: 67% (24h change 0%)
• Éric Zemmour: 65% (24h change 0%)
• Raphaël Glucksmann: 59% (24h change 0%)
• Gérald Darmanin: 50% (24h change 0%)
• François Ruffin: 37% (24h change 0%)
• Gabriel Attal: 36% (24h change 0%)
• Dominique de Villepin: 34% (24h change 0%)
• François Hollande: 29% (24h change 0%)
• Marine Tondelier: 27% (24h change 0%)
• François Asselineau: 13% (24h change 0%)
• Jérôme Guedj: 12% (24h change 0%)
• Jordan Bardella: 11% (24h change 0%)
• Bernard Cazeneuve: 10% (24h change 0%)
• Clémentine Autain: 8% (24h change 0%)
• Karim Bouamrane: 6% (24h change 0%)
• Olivier Faure: 5% (24h change 0%)