ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Back
Live market summary

Marine Le Pen is favored at 92% as of 8 Oct 2026, 22:06 UTC across 22 markets.

  • Marine Le Pen: 92% (24h change 0%)
  • Édouard Philippe: 90% (24h change 0%)
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon: 87% (24h change 0%)
  • Éric Zemmour: 83% (24h change 0%)
  • Fabien Roussel: 79% (24h change 0%)
  • Nathalie Arthaud: 77% (24h change 0%)
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan: 67% (24h change 0%)
  • Bruno Retailleau: 51% (24h change 0%)
  • Gérald Darmanin: 50% (24h change 0%)
  • Raphaël Glucksmann: 41% (24h change 0%)
  • Dominique de Villepin: 37% (24h change 0%)
  • François Hollande: 35% (24h change -4%)
  • François Ruffin: 29% (24h change 0%)
  • Marine Tondelier: 27% (24h change 0%)
  • Gabriel Attal: 25% (24h change 0%)
  • François Asselineau: 13% (24h change +3%)
  • Bernard Cazeneuve: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • Clémentine Autain: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • Olivier Faure: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Jérôme Guedj: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • Jordan Bardella: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Karim Bouamrane: 3% (24h change 0%)
presidential22 marketsLIVE

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Trade ↗

All options

About this market

Market question: 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

More presidential oddsAll political markets

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Marine Le Pen is favored at 92% as of 8 Oct 2026, 22:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Marine Le Pen: 92%; Édouard Philippe: 90%; Jean-Luc Mélenchon: 87%; Éric Zemmour: 83%; Fabien Roussel: 79%; Nathalie Arthaud: 77%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.