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Powered by KalshiFL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·99%(+94%)FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 20-30%·98%(+93%)Florida Democratic Senate nominee?·Angie Nixon·99.6%(+91.6%)FL-19 Democratic nominee?·Howard Sapp·1%(-91%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 12-16%·98%(+91%)FL-06 Republican primary: Dan Bilzerian vote percent·At least 17.5%·99%(+90%)FL-24 Democratic nominee?·Oliver Gilbert·99%(+89%)FL-19 Republican nominee?·Jim Schwartzel·99%(+88%)FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent·At least 15%·1%(-87%)FL-12 Democratic nominee?·Darren McAuley·1%(-85%)TN-06 House winner?·Mike Croley·9.5%(-84.3%)Who will finish first in the 2026 Likud primary?·Amir Ohana·1%(-83%)FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent·At least 60%·1%(-83%)Alaska Senate: who will advance?·Gerald Heikes·90%(+81%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Heidi Overton·99%(+81%)
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Summary

Above $15M is favored at 98% as of 15 Aug 2026, 18:04 UTC across 7 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Above $15M: 98% (24h change 0%)
  • Above $20M: 77% (24h change 0%)
  • Above $25M: 76% (24h change 0%)
  • Above $30M: 56% (24h change 0%)
  • Above $35M: 43% (24h change 0%)
  • Above $40M: 33% (24h change 0%)
  • Above $45M: 30% (24h change 0%)
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