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Powered by KalshiTexas State House winner?·Republican party·16%(-72%)Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?·Before Jan 1, 2027·27%(-63%)Georgia Attorney General winner?·Tanya Miller·44%(-53.3%)Will Serbia announce a snap election?·Before Oct 1, 2026·84%(+45%)New York's 17th District margin of victory·Republicans, 3+ pts·16%(-44%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·86%(+41%)Arkansas's 4th District margin of victory·Republicans, 36+ pts·59%(-37.8%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 35·51%(+35%)Idaho Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 19+ pts·59%(-35%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·89%(+34%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 20·10%(-28%)Israeli legislative election winner?·Yashar·69%(+28%)Will the Clarity Act become law?·Before Jul 1, 2027·66%(+27%)Argentina presidential election winner?·Axel Kicillof·37%(+25%)Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?·Ron Wyden·5.4%(-24.6%)
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Summary

Above $15M is favored at 98% as of 24 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC across 7 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Above $15M: 98% (24h change 0%)
  • Above $20M: 80% (24h change +3%)
  • Above $25M: 76% (24h change 0%)
  • Above $30M: 56% (24h change 0%)
  • Above $35M: 43% (24h change 0%)
  • Above $40M: 33% (24h change 0%)
  • Above $45M: 30% (24h change 0%)
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NRSC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

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Above $20M

80%
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