Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is favored at 74% as of 4 Oct 2026, 03:35 UTC across 16 markets.
- Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins: 74% (24h change -4%)
- Bernadette Wilson: 21% (24h change +5%)
- Dave Bronson: 3.9% (24h change +1.9%)
- Bill Walker: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Treg Taylor: 1.4% (24h change -0.6%)
- Lesil McGuire: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Tom Begich: 0.6% (24h change 0%)
- Adam Crum: 0.3% (24h change 0%)
- Click Bishop: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
- Mary Peltola: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
- Nancy Dahlstrom: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
- Matt Heilala: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
- Shelley Hughes: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
- Matthew Claman: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
- Edna DeVries: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
- Lisa Murkowski: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
Alaska Governor winner?
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Odds history
About this market
Market question: Alaska Governor winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Alaska Governor winner?
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is favored at 74% as of 4 Oct 2026, 03:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Alaska Governor winner?
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins: 74%; Bernadette Wilson: 21%; Dave Bronson: 3.9%; Bill Walker: 2%; Treg Taylor: 1.4%; Lesil McGuire: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.