Bernadette Wilson is favored at 31% as of 19 Aug 2026, 22:33 UTC across 16 markets. Kalshi odds.

• Bernadette Wilson: 31% (24h change +8%)
• Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins: 28% (24h change +15%)
• Tom Begich: 26% (24h change -24%)
• Dave Bronson: 10% (24h change +3.2%)
• Treg Taylor: 2.9% (24h change -4.7%)
• Bill Walker: 2% (24h change 0%)
• Lesil McGuire: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Matt Heilala: 0.3% (24h change -1.8%)
• Mary Peltola: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
• Click Bishop: 0.1% (24h change -4.1%)
• Nancy Dahlstrom: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
• Edna DeVries: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
• Shelley Hughes: 0.1% (24h change -0.4%)
• Matthew Claman: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
• Adam Crum: 0.1% (24h change -1.8%)
• Lisa Murkowski: 0.1% (24h change 0%)