Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is favored at 32% as of 20 Aug 2026, 00:33 UTC across 16 markets. Kalshi odds.

• Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins: 32% (24h change +20%)
• Bernadette Wilson: 30% (24h change +8%)
• Tom Begich: 26% (24h change -24%)
• Dave Bronson: 10% (24h change +5%)
• Treg Taylor: 2.9% (24h change -4.6%)
• Bill Walker: 2% (24h change 0%)
• Lesil McGuire: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Matt Heilala: 0.3% (24h change -1.7%)
• Mary Peltola: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
• Click Bishop: 0.1% (24h change -1.9%)
• Nancy Dahlstrom: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
• Edna DeVries: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
• Shelley Hughes: 0.1% (24h change -0.4%)
• Matthew Claman: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
• Adam Crum: 0.1% (24h change -0.7%)
• Lisa Murkowski: 0.1% (24h change 0%)