Before Jul 1, 2028 is favored at 82% as of 5 Oct 2026, 21:05 UTC across 8 markets.
- Before Jul 1, 2028: 82% (24h change +12%)
- Before Jan 1, 2029: 77% (24h change +4%)
- Before Oct 1, 2027: 74% (24h change 0%)
- Before Jan 1, 2028: 60% (24h change -32%)
- Before Apr 1, 2027: 42% (24h change -31%)
- Before Jul 1, 2027: 40% (24h change -38%)
- Before Dec 1, 2026: 17% (24h change +3%)
- Before Nov 1, 2026: 4% (24h change -1%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Before Jul 1, 2028 is favored at 82% as of 5 Oct 2026, 21:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Before Jul 1, 2028: 82%; Before Jan 1, 2029: 77%; Before Oct 1, 2027: 74%; Before Jan 1, 2028: 60%; Before Apr 1, 2027: 42%; Before Jul 1, 2027: 40%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.