Before Dec 1, 2026 is favored at 23% as of 24 Sep 2026, 07:36 UTC across 3 markets.
- Before Dec 1, 2026: 23% (24h change 0%)
- Before Nov 1, 2026: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Before Oct 1, 2026: 1% (24h change 0%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Before Dec 1, 2026 is favored at 23% as of 24 Sep 2026, 07:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Before Dec 1, 2026: 23%; Before Nov 1, 2026: 7%; Before Oct 1, 2026: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.