Democrats, 8 to 10% is favored at 25% as of 5 Jul 2026, 23:02 UTC across 10 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

• Democrats, 8 to 10%: 25% (24h change 0%)
• Democrats, 6 to 8%: 23% (24h change +1%)
• Democrats, 10 to 12%: 15% (24h change 0%)
• Republicans win: 14% (24h change +3%)
• Democrats, 4 to 6%: 13% (24h change 0%)
• Democrats, 2 to 4%: 7% (24h change 0%)
• Democrats, 12 to 14%: 7% (24h change -1%)
• Democrats, 0 to 2%: 3% (24h change +1.2%)
• Democrats, 16% and above: 2.4% (24h change 0%)
• Democrats, 14 to 16%: 2.3% (24h change 0%)