ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiFL-19 Republican primary: Catalina Lauf vote percent·At least 40%·1%(-97%)FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent·At least 15%·1%(-95%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·99%(+94%)FL-19 Republican primary: Jim Schwartzel vote percent·At least 30%·5%(-88%)Alaska Senate: who will advance?·David Leslie·88%(+83%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 12-16%·98%(+81%)FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent·At least 55%·99%(+79%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 19, 2026?·39.2·99%(+77%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Heidi Overton·96%(+76%)FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 40-50%·7%(-57%)FL-02 Republican primary: Keith Gross vote percent·At least 20%·2%(-57%)MI-13 House winner?·T.P. Nykoriak·5.7%(-56.3%)Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?·Delcy Rodríguez·40%(-55%)Alaska at-large congressional district primary: Bill Hill vote percent·At least 35%·1%(-54%)FL-02 Republican primary: Austin Rogers vote percent·At least 30%·98%(+53%)
Back
Summary

Democrats, 8 to 10% is favored at 28% as of 20 Aug 2026, 04:03 UTC across 10 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Democrats, 8 to 10%: 28% (24h change +1%)
  • Democrats, 10 to 12%: 24% (24h change +3%)
  • Democrats, 6 to 8%: 22% (24h change -1%)
  • Republicans win: 9.7% (24h change +0.2%)
  • Democrats, 4 to 6%: 8.1% (24h change -0.6%)
  • Democrats, 12 to 14%: 7.2% (24h change -1.1%)
  • Democrats, 2 to 4%: 4.3% (24h change +0.4%)
  • Democrats, 14 to 16%: 2.1% (24h change -0.1%)
  • Democrats, 0 to 2%: 1.9% (24h change +0.7%)
  • Democrats, 16% and above: 1.5% (24h change 0%)
house10 marketsLIVE

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Trade ↗

All options

Republicans win

9.7%
Trade ↗