Powered by KalshiVirginia Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 7+ pts·88%(+87.7%)When will ICE removal operations be funded again?·Before Jun 1, 2026·0.1%(-83.9%)Virginia's 11th District margin of victory·Democrats, 11+ pts·83%(+83%)When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?·Before May 24, 2026·0%(-83%)FL-10 Republican nominee?·Stuart Farber·31%(-45%)FL-23 Republican nominee?·Joe Kaufman·16%(-45%)Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?·Oregon·32%(-44%)FL-27 Democratic nominee?·Robin Peguero·23%(-41%)Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary?·Before Aug 1, 2026·22%(-41%)FL-16 Democratic nominee?·Jan Schneider·23%(-37%)MI-13 Republican nominee?·Raphiel King·10%(-35%)PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory·Chris Rabb, 15-20%·87%(+33%)Georgia Republican Senate primary: Buddy Carter vote percent·20% - 25%·12%(-32%)CA-37 primary: Who will advance?·Baltazar Fedalizo·61%(+31%)Ohio's 9th District margin of victory·Democrats, 3+ pts·28%(-31%)

Powered by KalshiVirginia Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 7+ pts·88%(+87.7%)When will ICE removal operations be funded again?·Before Jun 1, 2026·0.1%(-83.9%)Virginia's 11th District margin of victory·Democrats, 11+ pts·83%(+83%)When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?·Before May 24, 2026·0%(-83%)FL-10 Republican nominee?·Stuart Farber·31%(-45%)FL-23 Republican nominee?·Joe Kaufman·16%(-45%)Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?·Oregon·32%(-44%)FL-27 Democratic nominee?·Robin Peguero·23%(-41%)Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary?·Before Aug 1, 2026·22%(-41%)FL-16 Democratic nominee?·Jan Schneider·23%(-37%)MI-13 Republican nominee?·Raphiel King·10%(-35%)PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory·Chris Rabb, 15-20%·87%(+33%)Georgia Republican Senate primary: Buddy Carter vote percent·20% - 25%·12%(-32%)CA-37 primary: Who will advance?·Baltazar Fedalizo·61%(+31%)Ohio's 9th District margin of victory·Democrats, 3+ pts·28%(-31%)

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2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

All options

Democrats, 8 to 10%

21%

—

4

Democrats, 6 to 8%

15%

▲ +1%

148

Democrats, 10 to 12%

14%

—

0

Republicans win

13%

—

1,864

Democrats, 4 to 6%

12%

—

2

Democrats, 12 to 14%

6%

▼ -0.2%

0

Democrats, 2 to 4%

4.1%

▲ +0.1%

1

Democrats, 16% and above

2.4%

—

0

Democrats, 0 to 2%

2.2%

▲ +0.1%

788

Democrats, 14 to 16%

2%

▲ +0.2%

0