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Powered by KalshiAlaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 4%·96%(+93%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 19, 2026?·39.2·99%(+68%)MI-13 House winner?·T.P. Nykoriak·5.7%(-56.3%)Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Dan S. Sullivan vote percent·At least 45%·2%(-56%)Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?·Delcy Rodríguez·40%(-55%)When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?·Before Nov 1, 2026·71%(+51%)Alaska Senate: who will advance?·Gerald Heikes·4%(-47%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·7.9%(-39.1%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 8-12%·1%(-39%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 21, 2026?·James Talarico·45%(-38%)Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?·Before Oct 1, 2026·34%(-38%)FL-23 Democratic primary: Lois Frankel vote percent·At least 75%·2%(-38%)When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?·Before Sep 8, 2026·43%(-36%)What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?·Qatar·72%(+34%)Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration·$47.5 trillion·64%(+33%)
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Summary

Democrats, 8 to 10% is favored at 28% as of 20 Aug 2026, 06:03 UTC across 10 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Democrats, 8 to 10%: 28% (24h change +1%)
  • Democrats, 10 to 12%: 24% (24h change +3%)
  • Democrats, 6 to 8%: 22% (24h change -2%)
  • Republicans win: 9.5% (24h change -0.3%)
  • Democrats, 4 to 6%: 7.6% (24h change -0.5%)
  • Democrats, 12 to 14%: 6.8% (24h change -1.4%)
  • Democrats, 2 to 4%: 3.9% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 14 to 16%: 2.1% (24h change -0.1%)
  • Democrats, 16% and above: 1.5% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 0 to 2%: 1.3% (24h change 0%)
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2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

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