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Will Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index be at least 6 in the 2026 edition? is favored at 1.4% as of 4 Oct 2026, 02:35 UTC across 1 market.

  • Will Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index be at least 6 in the 2026 edition?: 1.4% (24h change -2.1%)
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Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?

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About this market

Market question: Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?

Will Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index be at least 6 in the 2026 edition? is favored at 1.4% as of 4 Oct 2026, 02:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?

Will Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index be at least 6 in the 2026 edition?: 1.4%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.