Powered by KalshiAlaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 4%·96%(+93%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 19, 2026?·39.2·99%(+68%)MI-13 House winner?·T.P. Nykoriak·5.7%(-56.3%)Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Dan S. Sullivan vote percent·At least 45%·2%(-56%)Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?·Delcy Rodríguez·40%(-55%)When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?·Before Nov 1, 2026·71%(+51%)Alaska Senate: who will advance?·Gerald Heikes·4%(-47%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·7.9%(-39.1%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 8-12%·1%(-39%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 21, 2026?·James Talarico·45%(-38%)Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?·Before Oct 1, 2026·34%(-38%)FL-23 Democratic primary: Lois Frankel vote percent·At least 75%·2%(-38%)When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?·Before Sep 8, 2026·43%(-36%)What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?·Qatar·72%(+34%)Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration·$47.5 trillion·64%(+33%)

Powered by KalshiAlaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 4%·96%(+93%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 19, 2026?·39.2·99%(+68%)MI-13 House winner?·T.P. Nykoriak·5.7%(-56.3%)Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Dan S. Sullivan vote percent·At least 45%·2%(-56%)Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?·Delcy Rodríguez·40%(-55%)When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?·Before Nov 1, 2026·71%(+51%)Alaska Senate: who will advance?·Gerald Heikes·4%(-47%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·7.9%(-39.1%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 8-12%·1%(-39%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 21, 2026?·James Talarico·45%(-38%)Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?·Before Oct 1, 2026·34%(-38%)FL-23 Democratic primary: Lois Frankel vote percent·At least 75%·2%(-38%)When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?·Before Sep 8, 2026·43%(-36%)What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?·Qatar·72%(+34%)Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration·$47.5 trillion·64%(+33%)

Summary

Will Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index be at least 6 in the 2026 edition? is favored at 2.9% as of 19 Aug 2026, 17:33 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

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Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?

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Will Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index be at least 6 in the 2026 edition?

2.9%

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