Yashar is favored at 71% as of 19 Oct 2026, 22:04 UTC across 21 markets.
- Yashar: 71% (24h change +26%)
- Together: 64% (24h change 0%)
- Yisrael Beiteinu: 61% (24h change 0%)
- Religious Zionist Party: 42% (24h change 0%)
- The Democrats: 38% (24h change 0%)
- Amcha Yisrael: 35% (24h change 0%)
- Reservists–New Economic Party: 35% (24h change 0%)
- Foundations of Israel: 34% (24h change 0%)
- United Torah Judaism: 32% (24h change 0%)
- Likud: 32% (24h change 0%)
- Shas: 31% (24h change 0%)
- Otzma Yehudit: 26% (24h change -5%)
- Zehut: 25% (24h change 0%)
- New Economic Party: 20% (24h change 0%)
- Zionist Home–The Reservists: 20% (24h change 0%)
- Unity: 10% (24h change 0%)
- Ra’am: 8% (24h change 0%)
- Noam: 8% (24h change 0%)
- Hadash–Ta’al: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Balad: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Blue and White: 1% (24h change 0%)
Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?
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Odds history
About this market
Market question: Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?
Yashar is favored at 71% as of 19 Oct 2026, 22:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?
Yashar: 71%; Together: 64%; Yisrael Beiteinu: 61%; Religious Zionist Party: 42%; The Democrats: 38%; Amcha Yisrael: 35%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.