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Live market summary

Yashar is favored at 94% as of 4 Sep 2026, 10:03 UTC across 20 markets.

  • Yashar: 94% (24h change 0%)
  • Together: 62% (24h change 0%)
  • Yisrael Beiteinu: 60% (24h change 0%)
  • The Democrats: 44% (24h change -1%)
  • Shas: 44% (24h change 0%)
  • United Torah Judaism: 42% (24h change 0%)
  • Otzma Yehudit: 40% (24h change 0%)
  • Likud: 39% (24h change 0%)
  • Amcha Yisrael: 36% (24h change 0%)
  • Religious Zionist Party: 32% (24h change 0%)
  • Zionist Home–The Reservists: 28% (24h change 0%)
  • Ra’am: 24% (24h change 0%)
  • Noam: 23% (24h change 0%)
  • Unity: 16% (24h change 0%)
  • Blue and White: 15% (24h change 0%)
  • Zehut: 15% (24h change 0%)
  • New Economic Party: 14% (24h change 0%)
  • Foundations of Israel: 11% (24h change -6%)
  • Balad: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • Hadash–Ta’al: 9% (24h change 0%)
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Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?

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How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

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Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?

Yashar is favored at 94% as of 4 Sep 2026, 10:03 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?

Yashar: 94%; Together: 62%; Yisrael Beiteinu: 60%; The Democrats: 44%; Shas: 44%; United Torah Judaism: 42%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.