Rafael López Aliaga is favored at 69% as of 4 Sep 2026, 01:33 UTC across 11 markets.
- Rafael López Aliaga: 69% (24h change -6%)
- Carlos Bruce: 25% (24h change 0%)
- Francis Allison: 14% (24h change 0%)
- Susel Paredes: 10% (24h change 0%)
- Samuel Daza: 6% (24h change 0%)
- Oswaldo Vargas: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Ricardo Belmont: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Luis Rubio: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Daniel Urresti: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Yehude Simon: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Alberto Tejada: 1% (24h change 0%)
Lima Mayor winner?
Trade ↗Odds history
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Lima Mayor winner?
Rafael López Aliaga is favored at 69% as of 4 Sep 2026, 01:33 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Lima Mayor winner?
Rafael López Aliaga: 69%; Carlos Bruce: 25%; Francis Allison: 14%; Susel Paredes: 10%; Samuel Daza: 6%; Oswaldo Vargas: 5%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.