Rafael López Aliaga is favored at 78% as of 19 Oct 2026, 16:34 UTC across 11 markets.
- Rafael López Aliaga: 78% (24h change +7%)
- Samuel Daza: 16% (24h change 0%)
- Francis Allison: 15% (24h change 0%)
- Carlos Bruce: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Susel Paredes: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Oswaldo Vargas: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Daniel Urresti: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Luis Rubio: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Yehude Simon: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Alberto Tejada: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Ricardo Belmont: 1% (24h change 0%)
Lima Mayor winner?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Lima Mayor winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Lima Mayor winner?
Rafael López Aliaga is favored at 78% as of 19 Oct 2026, 16:34 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Lima Mayor winner?
Rafael López Aliaga: 78%; Samuel Daza: 16%; Francis Allison: 15%; Carlos Bruce: 3%; Susel Paredes: 3%; Oswaldo Vargas: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.