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Powered by KalshiWill a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Aug 2026?·Will any member of Congress be out as any member of Congress in Aug 2026?·95%(+79%)WA-05 primary: who will advance?·Carmela Conroy·22%(-58%)Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)·At least 80·58%(+57%)Minas Gerais Governor winner?·Cleitinho Azevedo·10%(-57%)Malaysian general election winner?·BN-anchored coalition·41%(-53.2%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)·Above 45·41%(-50%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)·Above 50·47%(-50%)WA-09 primary: who will advance?·Douglas Michael Basler·22%(-50%)TN-06 Democratic nominee?·Lore Bergman·7%(-48%)Trump late night post this week? (8/2-8/8)·3-4 AM·17%(-48%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 250·67%(+47%)Jeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?·Before Jan 1, 2027·52%(-46%)Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?·Susan Collins·1%(-44%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)·Above 15·32%(-39%)Traffic through the Panama Canal? (8/3 - 8/9)·Above 200·98%(+36%)
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Summary

Above 260K is favored at 71% as of 6 Jul 2026, 22:03 UTC across 5 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Above 260K: 71% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 270K: 63% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 290K: 41% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 300K: 33% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 310K: 20% (24h change 0%)
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Alaska Governor General Election: voter turnout

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