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Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 20-30%·1%(-97%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026?·39.4 to 39.6·96%(+82%)Minnesota State Senate winner?·Republican party·99%(+75%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Darline Graham vote percent·At least 47%·34%(-48%)FL-13 House winner?·Leela Gray·78%(+47%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/16-8/22)·At least 4·29%(-43%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/16 - 8/22)·Above 0·17%(-41%)NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?·Decrease 1-1.99%·45%(+40%)Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?·Steve Witkoff·63%(+39%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/14-8/21)?·Above 38.7%·3%(-38%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Republican National Committee v. Eakin·48%(+36%)Texas's 23rd District margin of victory·Republicans, 14+ pts·51%(+30%)Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?·Italy·13%(-28%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout·Above 250k·91%(+26%)Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election winner?·Amber Craig·1%(-24%)
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Summary

Above 25,000 is favored at 86% as of 21 Aug 2026, 15:33 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Above 25,000: 86% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 27,500: 75% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 30,000: 64% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 32,500: 42% (24h change 0%)
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