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Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 20-30%·1%(-97%)Minnesota State Senate winner?·Republican party·99%(+75%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Darline Graham vote percent·At least 47%·34%(-48%)FL-13 House winner?·Leela Gray·78%(+47%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·94%(+44%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/16 - 8/22)·Above 0·17%(-41%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026?·39.4 to 39.6·96%(+40%)NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?·Decrease 1-1.99%·45%(+40%)Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?·Steve Witkoff·63%(+39%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/16-8/22)·At least 4·29%(-35%)Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?·During Trump's term·43%(+30%)Texas's 23rd District margin of victory·Republicans, 14+ pts·51%(+30%)Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?·Rebeca Grynspan·21%(-30%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 11, 2026·54%(+29%)Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?·Italy·13%(-28%)
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Summary

Above 25,000 is favored at 86% as of 21 Aug 2026, 15:33 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Above 25,000: 86% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 27,500: 75% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 30,000: 64% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 32,500: 42% (24h change 0%)
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