Powered by KalshiWho will win the Pennsylvania State House District 12 general election?·Brandon Dukes·99%(+54%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/28-9/4)?·Above 38.6%·71%(+52%)Which states will Trump visit in 2026?·Alaska·89%(+49%)MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch)·Stephen Lynch, ≥12%·5%(-45%)Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary: Seth Moulton vote percent·At least 35%·92%(+45%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (8/28-9/4)?·Above 5.9%·16%(-40%)Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?·France·6.8%(-39.2%)When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?·Before Dec 1, 2026·8%(-39%)Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?·Before 2028·75%(+38%)MA-01 Democratic primary: Richard Neal vote percent·At least 55%·8%(-36%)Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)·Ro Khanna·25%(-34%)Which lists will win a Knesset seat?·Religious Zionist Party·41%(-34%)Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?·On Nov 22, 2027·42%(-34%)New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Chris Pappas)·Chris Pappas, ≥25%·68%(+33%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·73%(+33%)

Powered by KalshiWho will win the Pennsylvania State House District 12 general election?·Brandon Dukes·99%(+54%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/28-9/4)?·Above 38.6%·71%(+52%)Which states will Trump visit in 2026?·Alaska·89%(+49%)MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch)·Stephen Lynch, ≥12%·5%(-45%)Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary: Seth Moulton vote percent·At least 35%·92%(+45%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (8/28-9/4)?·Above 5.9%·16%(-40%)Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?·France·6.8%(-39.2%)When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?·Before Dec 1, 2026·8%(-39%)Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?·Before 2028·75%(+38%)MA-01 Democratic primary: Richard Neal vote percent·At least 55%·8%(-36%)Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)·Ro Khanna·25%(-34%)Which lists will win a Knesset seat?·Religious Zionist Party·41%(-34%)Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?·On Nov 22, 2027·42%(-34%)New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Chris Pappas)·Chris Pappas, ≥25%·68%(+33%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·73%(+33%)

Live market summary

Brian Mast is favored at 90% as of 3 Sep 2026, 03:34 UTC across 2 markets.

cabinet2 marketsLIVE

Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?

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Brian Mast

90%

—

$241

Sean Parnell

60%

—

$8

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

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Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?

Brian Mast is favored at 90% as of 3 Sep 2026, 03:34 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?

Brian Mast: 90%; Sean Parnell: 60%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.