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Live market summary

Adam Telle is favored at 41% as of 17 Oct 2026, 04:35 UTC across 9 markets.

  • Adam Telle: 41% (24h change 0%)
  • Sean Parnell: 25% (24h change 0%)
  • Michael Obadal: 12% (24h change 0%)
  • Marc Andersen: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • Brent Ingraham: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • W. Jordan Gillis: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • Charles Young III: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Brian Mast: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Derrick Anderson: 2% (24h change 0%)
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Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?

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About this market

Market question: Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?

Adam Telle is favored at 41% as of 17 Oct 2026, 04:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?

Adam Telle: 41%; Sean Parnell: 25%; Michael Obadal: 12%; Marc Andersen: 8%; Brent Ingraham: 8%; W. Jordan Gillis: 8%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.