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Powered by KalshiWhen will records from Fauci’s phone be released?·Before Aug 15, 2026·99%(+90%)Florida's 10th District margin of victory·Democrats, 36+ pts·96%(+90%)How many House seats will Democrats win in Florida?·10·9%(-88%)Iowa's 4th District margin of victory·Republicans, 12+ pts·7%(-71%)NC-11 Republican nominee on Aug 11, 2026?·Jennifer Balkcom·96%(+66%)Georgia's 9th District margin of victory·Republicans, 25+ pts·1%(-64%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?·Zohran Mamdani·65%(+57%)When will Trump nominate someone to the Election Assistance Commission?·Before Oct 1, 2026·76%(+56%)Florida's 20th District margin of victory·Democrats, 43+ pts·1%(-54%)Florida Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 14+ pts·68%(+54%)Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?·Sonia Sotomayor·8%(-51%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: Russell Fry vote percent (1st Round)·At least 35%·13%(-51%)Idaho Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 19+ pts·94%(+42%)AK-AL primary: Who will advance?·John Brendan Williams·27%(-40%)Kentucky's 6th District margin of victory·Republicans, 3+ pts·26%(-38%)
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Summary

9 is favored at 43% as of 1 Aug 2026, 20:03 UTC across 7 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • 9: 43% (24h change 0%)
  • 8: 28% (24h change 0%)
  • 11: 15% (24h change 0%)
  • 10: 11% (24h change 0%)
  • Below 8: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • 12: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 12: 5% (24h change 0%)
congressional7 marketsLIVE

How many states will redistrict before the midterms?

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9

43%
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8

28%
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11

15%
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10

11%
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12

5%
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