Live market summary
Below 8 is favored at 82% as of 23 Sep 2026, 00:35 UTC across 7 markets.
- Below 8: 82% (24h change 0%)
- 8: 6% (24h change 0%)
- 9: 4% (24h change 0%)
- 10: 4% (24h change 0%)
- 11: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Above 12: 2% (24h change 0%)
- 12: 2% (24h change 0%)
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How many states will redistrict before the midterms?
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About this market
Market question: How many states will redistrict before the midterms?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in How many states will redistrict before the midterms?
Below 8 is favored at 82% as of 23 Sep 2026, 00:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for How many states will redistrict before the midterms?
Below 8: 82%; 8: 6%; 9: 4%; 10: 4%; 11: 2%; Above 12: 2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.