Powered by KalshiAK-AL primary: Who will advance?·John Brendan Williams·89%(+88%)Which Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026?·Tom Begich·73%(+65%)Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?·Before Nov 1, 2026·32%(-65%)How high will gas prices in New York get this year?·Above $5.00·72.5%(+62.6%)Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 300·74%(+60%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 200·39%(-58%)Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?·Before Jan 1, 2028·44%(-54%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 28, 2026?·39.7 to 39.9·80%(+51%)DE-AL Republican nominee?·John J. Whalen III·44%(-50%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·28%(-49%)How many DSA-endorsed candidates will win their primaries?·Above 6·43%(+42%)How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/22-8/28)·At least 5·99%(+40%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/23-8/29)·At least 6·99%(+39%)Ohio Attorney General winner?·John Kulewicz·67%(+38%)Florida's 25th District margin of victory·Democrats, 4+ pts·70%(+37%)

Powered by KalshiAK-AL primary: Who will advance?·John Brendan Williams·89%(+88%)Which Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026?·Tom Begich·73%(+65%)Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?·Before Nov 1, 2026·32%(-65%)How high will gas prices in New York get this year?·Above $5.00·72.5%(+62.6%)Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 300·74%(+60%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 200·39%(-58%)Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?·Before Jan 1, 2028·44%(-54%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 28, 2026?·39.7 to 39.9·80%(+51%)DE-AL Republican nominee?·John J. Whalen III·44%(-50%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·28%(-49%)How many DSA-endorsed candidates will win their primaries?·Above 6·43%(+42%)How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/22-8/28)·At least 5·99%(+40%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/23-8/29)·At least 6·99%(+39%)Ohio Attorney General winner?·John Kulewicz·67%(+38%)Florida's 25th District margin of victory·Democrats, 4+ pts·70%(+37%)

Summary

Above $400 million is favored at 79% as of 13 Aug 2026, 23:34 UTC across 5 markets. Kalshi odds.

policy5 marketsLIVE

NYC efficiency savings in FY2027?

All options

Above $400 million

79%

—

$208

Above $600 million

59%

—

$200

Above $800 million

42%

—

$214

Above $1 billion

30%

—

$7

Above $1.2 billion

13%

—

$209