Powered by KalshiHow many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (7/12 - 7/18)·Above 0·19%(-70%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/12-7/18)·At least 7·85%(+62%)Who will be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer?·Ed Miliband·13%(-58%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/10-7/17)?·Above 5.9%·5%(-42%)Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Jacqui Smith·44%(+41%)Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)·Nick Begich III·96.5%(+40.5%)Wisconsin State Assembly winner?·Democratic party·52%(-38%)Who will run for South Carolina Senate?·Ralph Norman·84%(+36%)TN-09 Republican nominee?·Todd Warner·11%(-36%)What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?·Venezuela·56%(+31%)When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan?·Before 2030·2.1%(-30.9%)Who will leave California before 2027?·Larry Page·58%(-30%)When will the House pass a budget resolution?·Before Oct 1, 2026·37%(+28%)NY-12 Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 110k·34%(-28%)Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?·Brett Matsumoto·89%(+28%)

Powered by KalshiHow many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (7/12 - 7/18)·Above 0·19%(-70%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/12-7/18)·At least 7·85%(+62%)Who will be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer?·Ed Miliband·13%(-58%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/10-7/17)?·Above 5.9%·5%(-42%)Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Jacqui Smith·44%(+41%)Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)·Nick Begich III·96.5%(+40.5%)Wisconsin State Assembly winner?·Democratic party·52%(-38%)Who will run for South Carolina Senate?·Ralph Norman·84%(+36%)TN-09 Republican nominee?·Todd Warner·11%(-36%)What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?·Venezuela·56%(+31%)When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan?·Before 2030·2.1%(-30.9%)Who will leave California before 2027?·Larry Page·58%(-30%)When will the House pass a budget resolution?·Before Oct 1, 2026·37%(+28%)NY-12 Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 110k·34%(-28%)Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?·Brett Matsumoto·89%(+28%)

Summary

Above $400 million is favored at 75% as of 8 Jul 2026, 19:03 UTC across 5 markets. Kalshi odds.

policy5 marketsLIVE

NYC efficiency savings in FY2027?

Odds history

Loading chart

All options

Above $400 million

75%

—

$200

Above $600 million

59%

—

$200

Above $800 million

45%

—

$9

Above $1 billion

30%

—

$7

Above $1.2 billion

13%

—

$209