JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom is favored at 22% as of 7 Oct 2026, 16:05 UTC across 31 markets.
- JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom: 22% (24h change +11%)
- AOC defeats JD Vance: 10% (24h change 0%)
- Jon Ossoff defeats JD Vance: 10% (24h change +2%)
- Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance: 7% (24h change -2%)
- Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio: 7% (24h change 0%)
- JD Vance defeats AOC: 5% (24h change 0%)
- JD Vance defeats Kamala Harris: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Pete Buttigieg defeats Marco Rubio: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Kamala Harris defeats JD Vance: 3% (24h change -3%)
- Pete Buttigieg defeats JD Vance: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Marco Rubio defeats Kamala Harris: 3% (24h change 0%)
- JD Vance defeats Jon Ossoff: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Andy Beshear defeats JD Vance: 3% (24h change 0%)
- JD Vance defeats Pete Buttigieg: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Marco Rubio defeats AOC: 2% (24h change 0%)
- AOC defeats Marco Rubio: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Josh Shapiro defeats JD Vance: 2% (24h change 0%)
- James Talarico defeats JD Vance: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Marco Rubio defeats Gavin Newsom: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Jon Ossoff defeats Marco Rubio: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Andy Beshear defeats Marco Rubio: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Marco Rubio defeats Jon Ossoff: 1% (24h change 0%)
- JD Vance defeats James Talarico: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Marco Rubio defeats Pete Buttigieg: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Marco Rubio defeats Andy Beshear: 1% (24h change 0%)
- James Talarico defeats Marco Rubio: 1% (24h change 0%)
- JD Vance defeats Josh Shapiro: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Marco Rubio defeats James Talarico: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Marco Rubio defeats Josh Shapiro: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Josh Shapiro defeats Marco Rubio: 1% (24h change 0%)
- JD Vance defeats Andy Beshear: 1% (24h change 0%)
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
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About this market
Market question: 2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in 2028 Presidential race: exact outcome?
JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom is favored at 22% as of 7 Oct 2026, 16:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for 2028 Presidential race: exact outcome?
JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom: 22%; AOC defeats JD Vance: 10%; Jon Ossoff defeats JD Vance: 10%; Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance: 7%; Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio: 7%; JD Vance defeats AOC: 5%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.