ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiRNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 120 million·4%(-85%)How will the Maine Democratic Senate nomination be decided?·Special convention·96%(+72%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic (7/6 - 7/12)·July 7·75%(+61%)Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)·Rahm Emanuel·77%(+56%)Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory·Lula da Silva, ≥15%·47%(+44%)Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?·Ronaldo Caiado·6%(-43%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Sep 1, 2026·54%(-35%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?·40.2 to 40.4·5%(-34%)FL-25 Republican nominee?·George Moraitis·50%(+34%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jho Low·61%(+32%)How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?·Above 58·56%(-31%)Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary?·Before Aug 1, 2026·29%(-28%)South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)·Democratic party·16%(-27%)Which bills will become law in 2026?·Surface transportation reauthorization·45%(+26%)Will Graham Platner endorse a successor in Jul 2026?·Before Aug 1, 2026·49%(-25%)
Back
Summary

Marco Rubio defeats Gavin Newsom is favored at 11% as of 9 Jul 2026, 13:32 UTC across 29 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Marco Rubio defeats Gavin Newsom: 11% (24h change +3%)
  • JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom: 11% (24h change -3%)
  • Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Jon Ossoff defeats Marco Rubio: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • AOC defeats JD Vance: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • AOC defeats Marco Rubio: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Marco Rubio defeats AOC: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • Jon Ossoff defeats JD Vance: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • JD Vance defeats Kamala Harris: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • Andy Beshear defeats JD Vance: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • JD Vance defeats Jon Ossoff: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Marco Rubio defeats Jon Ossoff: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • JD Vance defeats Josh Shapiro: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Marco Rubio defeats Kamala Harris: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • JD Vance defeats Andy Beshear: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Andy Beshear defeats Marco Rubio: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • JD Vance defeats AOC: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • James Talarico defeats Marco Rubio: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Marco Rubio defeats James Talarico: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Marco Rubio defeats Josh Shapiro: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Kamala Harris defeats JD Vance: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Pete Buttigieg defeats Marco Rubio: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Marco Rubio defeats Pete Buttigieg: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Marco Rubio defeats Andy Beshear: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • James Talarico defeats JD Vance: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • JD Vance defeats James Talarico: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Pete Buttigieg defeats JD Vance: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • JD Vance defeats Pete Buttigieg: 1% (24h change 0%)
presidential29 marketsLIVE

2028 Presidential race: exact outcome

Trade ↗

All options