Powered by KalshiWhich state will be scheduled first in the 2028 Democratic primary?·Michigan·95.9%(+92.9%)AZ-05 Republican primary margin of victory?·Mark Lamb, 15-20%·97%(+65%)How many new countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2028?·At least 1·65%(+58%)Massachusetts's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 73+ pts·95%(+58%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: Darline Graham vote percent (1st Round)·At least 60%·4%(-57%)Arizona's 3rd District margin of victory·Democrats, 63+ pts·66%(+56%)Texas's 23rd District margin of victory·Republicans, 17+ pts·2.1%(-50.9%)New Jersey's 8th District margin of victory·Democrats, 44+ pts·91.2%(+50.2%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/17-7/24)?·Above 5.2%·85%(+43%)Will the House vote to ban members of Congress from trading stocks?·Before 2027·96.3%(+42.3%)Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory·Lula da Silva, ≥15%·5%(-42%)Next French presidential election winner?·François Hollande·9%(-42%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 31, 2026?·Jon Ossoff·77%(+41%)Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?·Together·57%(-40%)Zambian presidential election winner?·Hakainde Hichilema·93%(+38%)

Powered by KalshiWhich state will be scheduled first in the 2028 Democratic primary?·Michigan·95.9%(+92.9%)AZ-05 Republican primary margin of victory?·Mark Lamb, 15-20%·97%(+65%)How many new countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2028?·At least 1·65%(+58%)Massachusetts's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 73+ pts·95%(+58%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: Darline Graham vote percent (1st Round)·At least 60%·4%(-57%)Arizona's 3rd District margin of victory·Democrats, 63+ pts·66%(+56%)Texas's 23rd District margin of victory·Republicans, 17+ pts·2.1%(-50.9%)New Jersey's 8th District margin of victory·Democrats, 44+ pts·91.2%(+50.2%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/17-7/24)?·Above 5.2%·85%(+43%)Will the House vote to ban members of Congress from trading stocks?·Before 2027·96.3%(+42.3%)Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory·Lula da Silva, ≥15%·5%(-42%)Next French presidential election winner?·François Hollande·9%(-42%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 31, 2026?·Jon Ossoff·77%(+41%)Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?·Together·57%(-40%)Zambian presidential election winner?·Hakainde Hichilema·93%(+38%)

Summary

Before Jan 1, 2029 is favored at 6% as of 23 Jul 2026, 02:03 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

policy1 marketLIVE

When will a reconciliation bill become law?

All options

Before Jan 1, 2029

6%

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$608