Before Jul 1, 2028 is favored at 34% as of 19 Oct 2026, 00:34 UTC across 5 markets.
- Before Jul 1, 2028: 34% (24h change 0%)
- Before Jan 1, 2028: 33% (24h change 0%)
- Before Jul 1, 2027: 32% (24h change 0%)
- Before Jan 1, 2029: 29% (24h change 0%)
- Before Jan 1, 2027: 25% (24h change 0%)
When will a reconciliation bill become law?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: When will a reconciliation bill become law?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in When will a reconciliation bill become law?
Before Jul 1, 2028 is favored at 34% as of 19 Oct 2026, 00:34 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for When will a reconciliation bill become law?
Before Jul 1, 2028: 34%; Before Jan 1, 2028: 33%; Before Jul 1, 2027: 32%; Before Jan 1, 2029: 29%; Before Jan 1, 2027: 25%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.