New Zealand is favored at 12% as of 3 Oct 2026, 23:36 UTC across 13 markets.
- New Zealand: 12% (24h change 0%)
- The Netherlands: 12% (24h change 0%)
- Italy: 9.9% (24h change 0%)
- Germany: 9.3% (24h change 0%)
- Singapore: 7.9% (24h change 0%)
- Japan: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Switzerland: 3.2% (24h change 0%)
- Panama: 2.8% (24h change 0%)
- Greece: 2% (24h change 0%)
- South Korea: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Austria: 1.2% (24h change 0%)
- Finland: 1.1% (24h change 0%)
- USA: 1.1% (24h change 0%)
Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?
New Zealand is favored at 12% as of 3 Oct 2026, 23:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?
New Zealand: 12%; The Netherlands: 12%; Italy: 9.9%; Germany: 9.3%; Singapore: 7.9%; Japan: 7%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.