ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiFL-19 Republican primary: Catalina Lauf vote percent·At least 40%·1%(-97%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·99%(+94%)FL-19 Republican primary: Jim Schwartzel vote percent·At least 30%·5%(-88%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 12-16%·98%(+81%)FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent·At least 55%·99%(+79%)Alaska Senate: who will advance?·David Leslie·83%(+78%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 19, 2026?·39.2·99%(+77%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Heidi Overton·96%(+76%)FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 40-50%·7%(-57%)FL-02 Republican primary: Keith Gross vote percent·At least 20%·2%(-57%)MI-13 House winner?·T.P. Nykoriak·5.7%(-56.3%)Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?·Delcy Rodríguez·40%(-55%)Alaska at-large congressional district primary: Bill Hill vote percent·At least 35%·1%(-54%)FL-02 Republican primary: Austin Rogers vote percent·At least 30%·98%(+53%)AK-AL primary: Who will advance?·John Brendan Williams·2%(-52%)
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Summary

Italy is favored at 41% as of 20 Aug 2026, 02:33 UTC across 13 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Italy: 41% (24h change +29%)
  • Finland: 9.9% (24h change 0%)
  • Japan: 6.4% (24h change 0%)
  • New Zealand: 6.3% (24h change 0%)
  • Greece: 6.1% (24h change 0%)
  • The Netherlands: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Switzerland: 3.2% (24h change 0%)
  • Singapore: 3.1% (24h change 0%)
  • Panama: 2.8% (24h change 0%)
  • Germany: 2.7% (24h change 0%)
  • South Korea: 2.6% (24h change 0%)
  • Austria: 2.5% (24h change 0%)
  • USA: 1.8% (24h change 0%)
international13 marketsLIVE

Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?

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All options

Italy

41%
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Finland

9.9%
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Japan

6.4%
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Greece

6.1%
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Panama

2.8%
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USA

1.8%
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