Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, ≥50%·92%(+82%)Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?·Lesil McGuire·76%(+73%)Alaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 1%·84%(+72%)Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?·New Hampshire·12%(-59%)New Hampshire State Senate winner?·Democratic party·97%(+58%)FL-19 Republican primary: Catalina Lauf vote percent·At least 35%·58%(+56%)New Jersey Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 21+ pts·99.9%(+52.9%)When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?·Before Jul 1, 2027·44%(-43%)Which ballot measures will pass in Oklahoma?·State Question 845·82%(+43%)Michigan Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 1+ pts·72%(+41%)Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?·Mette Frederiksen·47%(+41%)Will Wyoming vote to exempt 50% of primary-home assessed value?·Will Initiative 1 pass?·35%(-41%)Alaska Senate: who will advance?·Dan J. Sullivan·42%(-40%)Alaska Senate primary: 1st place·Dan S. Sullivan·9%(-38%)Which bills will become law in 2026?·Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act·23%(-37%)

Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, ≥50%·92%(+82%)Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?·Lesil McGuire·76%(+73%)Alaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 1%·84%(+72%)Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?·New Hampshire·12%(-59%)New Hampshire State Senate winner?·Democratic party·97%(+58%)FL-19 Republican primary: Catalina Lauf vote percent·At least 35%·58%(+56%)New Jersey Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 21+ pts·99.9%(+52.9%)When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?·Before Jul 1, 2027·44%(-43%)Which ballot measures will pass in Oklahoma?·State Question 845·82%(+43%)Michigan Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 1+ pts·72%(+41%)Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?·Mette Frederiksen·47%(+41%)Will Wyoming vote to exempt 50% of primary-home assessed value?·Will Initiative 1 pass?·35%(-41%)Alaska Senate: who will advance?·Dan J. Sullivan·42%(-40%)Alaska Senate primary: 1st place·Dan S. Sullivan·9%(-38%)Which bills will become law in 2026?·Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act·23%(-37%)

Summary

Before Jan 1, 2030 is favored at 81% as of 15 Aug 2026, 12:04 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

scotus1 marketLIVE

Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?

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Before Jan 1, 2030

81%

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