Live market summary
Before Aug 1, 2028 is favored at 66% as of 9 Aug 2026, 04:33 UTC across 1 market.
- Before Aug 1, 2028: 66% (24h change 0%)
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Will SCOTUS allow First Step Act halfway-house claims under §2241?
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About this market
Market question: Will SCOTUS allow First Step Act halfway-house claims under §2241?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Will SCOTUS allow First Step Act halfway-house claims under §2241?
Before Aug 1, 2028 is favored at 66% as of 9 Aug 2026, 04:33 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Will SCOTUS allow First Step Act halfway-house claims under §2241?
Before Aug 1, 2028: 66%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.