Powered by KalshiDE-AL Republican nominee?·Earl Cooper·96.5%(+94.5%)Which state will be scheduled first in the 2028 Democratic primary?·Michigan·1.4%(-94.5%)Who will run for South Carolina Senate?·Henry McMaster·96%(+94%)Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?·Gianni Infantino·7%(-91%)Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?·Brett Matsumoto·16%(-73%)Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?·Otzma Yehudit·34%(-63%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 24, 2026?·41.1 to 41.3·2%(-55%)How many bills will President Trump sign in Jul 2026?·1·12%(-53%)When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?·Before Aug 8, 2026·2%(-53%)Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?·Dan Osborn·53%(+48%)Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?·Roger Williams·54%(+44.6%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·73%(+44%)Will a cabinet member be impeached?·Before 2028·68%(+43%)Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?·Anthony Fauci·40%(-40%)When will Trump and Netanyahu meet?·Before Aug 1, 2026·21%(-38%)

Powered by KalshiDE-AL Republican nominee?·Earl Cooper·96.5%(+94.5%)Which state will be scheduled first in the 2028 Democratic primary?·Michigan·1.4%(-94.5%)Who will run for South Carolina Senate?·Henry McMaster·96%(+94%)Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?·Gianni Infantino·7%(-91%)Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?·Brett Matsumoto·16%(-73%)Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?·Otzma Yehudit·34%(-63%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 24, 2026?·41.1 to 41.3·2%(-55%)How many bills will President Trump sign in Jul 2026?·1·12%(-53%)When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?·Before Aug 8, 2026·2%(-53%)Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?·Dan Osborn·53%(+48%)Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?·Roger Williams·54%(+44.6%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·73%(+44%)Will a cabinet member be impeached?·Before 2028·68%(+43%)Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?·Anthony Fauci·40%(-40%)When will Trump and Netanyahu meet?·Before Aug 1, 2026·21%(-38%)

Summary

Before Aug 1, 2028 is favored at 55% as of 24 Jul 2026, 02:33 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

scotus1 marketLIVE

Will SCOTUS allow First Step Act halfway-house claims under §2241?

Odds history

Loading chart

All options

Before Aug 1, 2028

55%

—

$200