Clarence Thomas is favored at 49% as of 15 Sep 2026, 20:15 UTC across 9 markets.
- Clarence Thomas: 49% (24h change 0%)
- Samuel Alito: 47% (24h change -17%)
- John Roberts: 24% (24h change 0%)
- Amy Coney Barrett: 12% (24h change 0%)
- Sonia Sotomayor: 11% (24h change 0%)
- Brett Kavanaugh: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Ketanji Brown Jackson: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Neil Gorsuch: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Elena Kagan: 5% (24h change 0%)
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
Clarence Thomas is favored at 49% as of 15 Sep 2026, 20:15 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
Clarence Thomas: 49%; Samuel Alito: 47%; John Roberts: 24%; Amy Coney Barrett: 12%; Sonia Sotomayor: 11%; Brett Kavanaugh: 7%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.