Live summary
Samuel Alito is favored at 70% as of 5 Jul 2026, 15:32 UTC across 8 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.
- Samuel Alito: 70% (24h change 0%)
- Clarence Thomas: 47% (24h change -1%)
- John Roberts: 17% (24h change 0%)
- Amy Coney Barrett: 11% (24h change 0%)
- Ketanji Brown Jackson: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Sonia Sotomayor: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Neil Gorsuch: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Brett Kavanaugh: 2% (24h change 0%)
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Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
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