Powered by KalshiWho will be the next Secretary of the Army?·Brian Mast·5%(-85%)When will the House leave for its pre-election recess?·Before Sep 18, 2026·94%(+84%)Minnesota State Senate winner?·Republican party·16%(-83%)Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/30 - 9/5)·Above 0·89%(+81%)Which states will redistrict before the midterms?·Missouri·17%(-73%)MO-05 House winner?·Republican party·14%(-72%)Missouri's 4th District margin of victory·Republicans, 20+ pts·70%(+69%)Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?·Before Oct 1, 2026·90%(+68%)How many states will redistrict before the midterms?·Below 8·17%(-62%)Missouri's 5th District margin of victory·Democrats, 3+ pts·71%(+55%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jho Low·37%(-52%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory·2%(-49%)Who will receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026?·Sean Hannity·56%(+49%)Will the 11th Circuit rule non-intervened False Claims Act qui tam suits unconstitutional?·Before 2028·2%(-47%)Wisconsin's 2nd District margin of victory·Democrats, 50+ pts·92.5%(+46.5%)

Powered by KalshiWho will be the next Secretary of the Army?·Brian Mast·5%(-85%)When will the House leave for its pre-election recess?·Before Sep 18, 2026·94%(+84%)Minnesota State Senate winner?·Republican party·16%(-83%)Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/30 - 9/5)·Above 0·89%(+81%)Which states will redistrict before the midterms?·Missouri·17%(-73%)MO-05 House winner?·Republican party·14%(-72%)Missouri's 4th District margin of victory·Republicans, 20+ pts·70%(+69%)Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?·Before Oct 1, 2026·90%(+68%)How many states will redistrict before the midterms?·Below 8·17%(-62%)Missouri's 5th District margin of victory·Democrats, 3+ pts·71%(+55%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jho Low·37%(-52%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory·2%(-49%)Who will receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026?·Sean Hannity·56%(+49%)Will the 11th Circuit rule non-intervened False Claims Act qui tam suits unconstitutional?·Before 2028·2%(-47%)Wisconsin's 2nd District margin of victory·Democrats, 50+ pts·92.5%(+46.5%)

Live market summary

Garlin Gilchrist is favored at 83% as of 21 Aug 2026, 13:33 UTC across 2 markets.

cabinet2 marketsLIVE

Michigan Secretary of State winner?

All options

Garlin Gilchrist

83%

—

$9K

Anthony Forlini

10%

—

$6K

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

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Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Michigan Secretary of State winner?

Garlin Gilchrist is favored at 83% as of 21 Aug 2026, 13:33 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Michigan Secretary of State winner?

Garlin Gilchrist: 83%; Anthony Forlini: 10%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.