Powered by KalshiWill Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/30 - 9/5)·Above 0·94%(+86%)Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?·Brian Mast·5%(-85%)When will the House leave for its pre-election recess?·Before Sep 18, 2026·94%(+84%)Minnesota State Senate winner?·Republican party·16%(-83%)Which states will redistrict before the midterms?·Missouri·17%(-73%)MO-05 House winner?·Republican party·14%(-72%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Buenrostro-Mendez v. Blanche·87%(+72%)Missouri's 4th District margin of victory·Republicans, 20+ pts·70%(+69%)Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?·Before Oct 1, 2026·90%(+68%)How many states will redistrict before the midterms?·Below 8·17%(-62%)Will the California Voter ID initiative pass?·the 2026 California Voter ID initiative·93.2%(+58.2%)Missouri's 5th District margin of victory·Democrats, 3+ pts·71%(+55%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jho Low·37%(-52%)Who will receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026?·Sean Hannity·56%(+49%)Will the 11th Circuit rule non-intervened False Claims Act qui tam suits unconstitutional?·Before 2028·2%(-47%)

Powered by KalshiWill Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/30 - 9/5)·Above 0·94%(+86%)Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?·Brian Mast·5%(-85%)When will the House leave for its pre-election recess?·Before Sep 18, 2026·94%(+84%)Minnesota State Senate winner?·Republican party·16%(-83%)Which states will redistrict before the midterms?·Missouri·17%(-73%)MO-05 House winner?·Republican party·14%(-72%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Buenrostro-Mendez v. Blanche·87%(+72%)Missouri's 4th District margin of victory·Republicans, 20+ pts·70%(+69%)Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?·Before Oct 1, 2026·90%(+68%)How many states will redistrict before the midterms?·Below 8·17%(-62%)Will the California Voter ID initiative pass?·the 2026 California Voter ID initiative·93.2%(+58.2%)Missouri's 5th District margin of victory·Democrats, 3+ pts·71%(+55%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jho Low·37%(-52%)Who will receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026?·Sean Hannity·56%(+49%)Will the 11th Circuit rule non-intervened False Claims Act qui tam suits unconstitutional?·Before 2028·2%(-47%)

Live market summary

Garlin Gilchrist is favored at 83% as of 21 Aug 2026, 13:33 UTC across 2 markets.

cabinet2 marketsLIVE

Michigan Secretary of State winner?

All options

Garlin Gilchrist

83%

—

$9K

Anthony Forlini

10%

—

$6K

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

More cabinet odds All political markets

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Michigan Secretary of State winner?

Garlin Gilchrist is favored at 83% as of 21 Aug 2026, 13:33 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Michigan Secretary of State winner?

Garlin Gilchrist: 83%; Anthony Forlini: 10%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.