Powered by KalshiWhen will the House leave for its pre-election recess?·Before Sep 18, 2026·91%(+81%)Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?·Missouri Amendment 3·95%(+75%)Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026)·At least 15·16%(-54%)Which states will redistrict before the midterms?·Alabama·4%(-50%)How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?·Exactly 2·57%(+48.5%)Which states will Trump visit in 2026?·Alaska·86%(+46%)Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place·Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva·50%(+43%)When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax?·Before Nov 1, 2026·82%(+43%)Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?·Before 2028·75%(+38%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (8/28-9/4)?·Above 5.9%·10%(-35%)Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)·Ro Khanna·25%(-34%)When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?·Before Dec 1, 2026·57%(+30%)How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?·Above 40·64%(+29%)Ohio Attorney General winner?·John Kulewicz·97.8%(+28.8%)Hamilton East-Stoney Creek by-election winner?·Monique Taylor·28%(-28%)

Powered by KalshiWhen will the House leave for its pre-election recess?·Before Sep 18, 2026·91%(+81%)Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?·Missouri Amendment 3·95%(+75%)Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026)·At least 15·16%(-54%)Which states will redistrict before the midterms?·Alabama·4%(-50%)How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?·Exactly 2·57%(+48.5%)Which states will Trump visit in 2026?·Alaska·86%(+46%)Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place·Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva·50%(+43%)When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax?·Before Nov 1, 2026·82%(+43%)Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?·Before 2028·75%(+38%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (8/28-9/4)?·Above 5.9%·10%(-35%)Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)·Ro Khanna·25%(-34%)When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?·Before Dec 1, 2026·57%(+30%)How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?·Above 40·64%(+29%)Ohio Attorney General winner?·John Kulewicz·97.8%(+28.8%)Hamilton East-Stoney Creek by-election winner?·Monique Taylor·28%(-28%)

Live market summary

Republican party is favored at 99% as of 3 Sep 2026, 16:33 UTC across 2 markets.

senate2 marketsLIVE

Minnesota State Senate winner?

Odds history

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All options

Republican party

99%

—

$5K

Democratic party

81%

▼ -18%

$788

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

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Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Minnesota State Senate winner?

Republican party is favored at 99% as of 3 Sep 2026, 16:33 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Minnesota State Senate winner?

Republican party: 99%; Democratic party: 81%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.