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Powered by KalshiWho will be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer?·John Healey·99%(+98%)Which states will redistrict before the midterms?·Virginia·4.1%(-92.9%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/19-7/25)·At least 8·99%(+89%)Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (7/19 - 7/25)·Above 0·99%(+86%)Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Rachel Reeves·1%(-68%)Who will be the next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?·No new person·1%(-65%)Texas's 15th District margin of victory·Democrats, 2+ pts·38%(-59.4%)Who will run for South Carolina Senate?·Nancy Mace·2%(-54%)Ottawa mayoral election winner?·Mark Sutcliffe·30%(-45%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·21%(-44%)Who will leave California before 2027?·Peter Thiel·98%(+43%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·19%(-41%)Will crypto market structure legislation become law?·Before Nov 1, 2026·70%(+40%)Texas's 23rd District margin of victory·Republicans, 17+ pts·53%(+40%)How many states will Trump visit in Jul 2026?·8·10%(-40%)
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Summary

Democratic party is favored at 72% as of 20 Jul 2026, 16:34 UTC across 2 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Democratic party: 72% (24h change 0%)
  • Republican party: 27% (24h change +2%)
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