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Live summary

Before Jan 1, 2030 is favored at 45% as of 5 Jul 2026, 23:02 UTC across 4 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

  • Before Jan 1, 2030: 45% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jan 1, 2029: 35% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jan 1, 2028: 19% (24h change -1%)
  • Before Jan 1, 2027: 5.1% (24h change -1.9%)
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Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

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