Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiVirginia Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 7+ pts·88%(+87.7%)When will ICE removal operations be funded again?·Before Jun 1, 2026·0.1%(-83.9%)Virginia's 11th District margin of victory·Democrats, 11+ pts·83%(+83%)When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?·Before May 24, 2026·0%(-83%)FL-10 Republican nominee?·Stuart Farber·31%(-45%)FL-23 Republican nominee?·Joe Kaufman·16%(-45%)Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?·Oregon·32%(-44%)MI-13 Republican nominee?·Raphiel King·3%(-42%)FL-27 Democratic nominee?·Robin Peguero·23%(-41%)PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory·Chris Rabb, 15-20%·95%(+41%)FL-16 Democratic nominee?·Jan Schneider·23%(-37%)Will Trump do anything this week? (5/17-5/23)·At least 5·45%(-36%)Michigan's 10th District margin of victory·Republicans, 1+ pts·34%(+32.7%)Indiana Republican Secretary of State nominee?·Diego Morales·2.1%(-31.9%)CA-37 primary: Who will advance?·Baltazar Fedalizo·61%(+31%)
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Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

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Kash Patel

67%
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Tulsi Gabbard

57%
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Pete Hegseth

31%
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Scott Bessent

25%
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