Pete Hegseth is favored at 25% as of 4 Oct 2026, 12:05 UTC across 30 markets.
- Pete Hegseth: 25% (24h change -1%)
- Susie Wiles: 20% (24h change 0%)
- Brooke Rollins: 19% (24h change +5%)
- Doug Collins: 18% (24h change -7%)
- Kelly Loeffler: 18% (24h change 0%)
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 17% (24h change +1%)
- Stephen Miller: 17% (24h change +2%)
- Steve Witkoff: 17% (24h change -1%)
- Mike Huckabee: 17% (24h change +2%)
- Kash Patel: 16% (24h change -2%)
- Howard Lutnick: 16% (24h change -4%)
- Bill Pulte: 16% (24h change -4%)
- Tom Homan: 16% (24h change +1%)
- Peter Navarro: 15% (24h change 0%)
- Steven Cheung: 15% (24h change 0%)
- Rodney Scott: 15% (24h change +3%)
- Linda McMahon: 14% (24h change 0%)
- Doug Burgum: 13% (24h change -2%)
- Scott Turner: 13% (24h change 0%)
- Russell Vought: 13% (24h change 0%)
- Jamieson Greer: 12% (24h change 0%)
- Chris Wright: 11% (24h change 0%)
- Sean Duffy: 11% (24h change 0%)
- John Ratcliffe: 11% (24h change 0%)
- Brendan Carr: 9.8% (24h change 0%)
- Lee Zeldin: 9.3% (24h change -2.7%)
- Mehmet Oz: 9.1% (24h change -3.9%)
- Scott Bessent: 9% (24h change 0%)
- Marco Rubio: 8.7% (24h change +0.3%)
- Amy Gleason: 8.5% (24h change +3.1%)
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
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About this market
Market question: Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Pete Hegseth is favored at 25% as of 4 Oct 2026, 12:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Pete Hegseth: 25%; Susie Wiles: 20%; Brooke Rollins: 19%; Doug Collins: 18%; Kelly Loeffler: 18%; Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 17%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.